Tesla car with smartphone showing Tesla logo, representing Wolfe Research’s stock rating update and the company’s FSD growth potential in 2025.
Tesla’s stock rating was reiterated by Wolfe Research as investors weigh Full Self-Driving (FSD) catalysts against declining share performance in 2025.

Tesla stock rating reiterated by Wolfe Research amid FSD catalysts

TECHi's Author Fatimah Misbah Hussain
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TECHi's Take
Fatimah Misbah Hussain
Fatimah Misbah Hussain
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Tesla is not only making cars, it’s creating an ecosystem of high-tech for the future. From Full Self-Driving (FSD) vehicles to humanoid robots and ride-hailing services, the company is putting itself at a position that shows us something which is beyond the boundaries of an automaker. 

Yet, the recent decline of the stock and cautionary notes from analysts such as Wolfe Research indicates that a reality check is necessary. It’s simple to be enchanted by Elon Musk’s vision for the future, but enthusiasm does not pay the bills. If Tesla can’t execute such developments profitably and on schedule, fantasies about robotaxis and Optimus robots might just stay a fantasy.

Tesla shares have fallen 21% year to date, it is behind both the S&P 500 (+8%) and EV players such as Rivian (-2%). However, the investor enthusiasm hasn’t disappeared, thanks to the company’s aggressive push into new technologies such as FSD, robotaxis, and humanoid robots

Tesla is making a bet on the long game, it is putting in the foundations for a world with robotaxis, AI-based services, and solar energy systems taking over. They refer to the Austin and San Francisco robotaxi launch, multi-state expansion plans, and firm AI-centric vision as indicators of a company that is all set to experience exponential growth. 

On the other hand, Tesla’s innovation-driven approach has a lack of short-term clarity and returns. With valuation multiples being high and with wobbly profit margins, the stock seems to be priced for perfection without the support of enduring earnings growth.

Tesla’s visionary leadership is acknowledged but one should remain cautious about its short-term risk. The stock might require more proof of scalable profitability from its tech advances before warranting further upside. 

There is no doubt that Tesla is still the most interesting and troublesome company out there. Though its performance this year has been a letdown, the playbook it’s creating can still revolutionize how we travel, live, and interact with technology. 

For the moment, Wall Street is holding its breath, watching to see if Tesla’s vision of the future will translate into actual results on the ground or not.

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Wolfe Research has reiterated its Peerperform rating on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock, according to a research note released Thursday. InvestingPro data shows Tesla currently trading above its Fair Value, with a high P/E ratio of 171.8x and strong financial health metrics. Tesla shares have declined 21% year-to-date, underperforming the broader S&P 500 index which is up 8%, while competing electric vehicle maker Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) is down 2% during the same period. Wolfe Research indicates that near-term Street estimates for Tesla appear high, particularly for 2025 and 2026, with free cash flow likely to remain under pressure, though growth in the company’s energy business could be a key factor.

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