The value sharing at Intel has indicated consistent substantial gains, such as in 2011 and 2024 in the morning, leading to more than 50% gains.
The growth of AI-oriented PCs and growth of foundry deals has led analysts to forecast valuations of between $60 and $65. Trends in history indicate that the trend of Intel is still strong.
Foundry Breakthroughs Fuel Growth
The 18A process node designed by Intel went into mass production in late 2025, signing large contracts with companies, including Microsoft and Amazon Web Services.
These developments would possibly make Intel a trailing newcomer to a competitor against TSMC.
During the third quarter of 2025, the foundry revenue gained by 12 % compared with the year before to reach $4.5 billion, which could indicate a strategic shift that is expected to make the segment increase by twice its output by 2027.
AI PCs and Data Centers Ignite Demand
High-performance Core Ultra 200 V processors have demonstrated quick market adoption, on the foundations of a foreseen 55% growth in the AI-PC industry in 2026.
Nvidia President and CEO Jensen Huang Said
“Data centers worldwide are in full steam to modernize the entire computing stack with accelerated computing and generative AI,”
Weak Spots in the Numbers
The company outlook is now deteriorating as indicated by Intel’s market cap which has contracted significantly from its peak of approximately $290 billion in 2020 to roughly $95-110 billion in early 2025.
However, these declines are often bounced back at about 35% after positive changes have taken place.
Bright Road Ahead
There are quite some opportunities. The CHIPS Act has provided funds amounting to 8.5 billion to fund local semiconductor manufacturing thus reducing vulnerability to Chinese supply chains.
According to KeyBanc Capital Markets, Intel’s 18A process development is advancing rapidly. The latest data shows Intel’s yield has reached 55% up from 50% in the previous quarter.
This improvement places Intel ahead of Samsung Electronics ’s SF2 (2nm) process, currently yielding around 40%, although still trailing TSMC ’s N2 (2nm) process, which leads the industry at approximately 65%.
Although execution risk remains, it is possible that a significant turnaround occurs due to the convergence of catalysts. Investors are thus advised to watch the fourth-quarter earnings release that is to happen in January 2026.
