NYSE · TECHNOLOGY · Forecast & analysis
Dell Technologies Inc (DELL) Stock Forecast & Analyst Ratings
Median target, high/low range, buy/hold/sell mix, conviction spread, and bull/base/bear scenarios from the latest analyst data.
Section freshness
Price Jun 12, 7:59 PM EDT · Statements Apr 29, 8:00 PM EDT
Source timingDetailsHide
Data freshness
Prices update fastest. Fundamentals, analyst data, and news update on their own schedules, so check these timestamps before comparing signals.
Price time means the latest available trade or regular-market close. Other times show when that section was checked or published.
Forecast read
DELL target implies +25.31% from current.
Use this dashboard to see whether Wall Street expects DELL to grow, stall, or drop before you dive into the raw financial data.
Price target map
Today to 12 months out
Data last updated: Jun 12, 2026, 7:59 PM EDT
Median target
$500.00
+25.31% from current
Consensus
Buy
26 analysts tracked
Rating score
3.85
Analyst consensus score on 1-5 scale
Dispersion
0.77
Moderate Consensus Divergence
- High target
- $700.00
- +75.44% bull case
- Low target
- $213.00
- -46.62% bear case
- Analyst disagreement
- +122.06%
- High target minus low target, divided by current price
TECHi take
DELL consensus has a target, but the rating mix still matters.
TECHi Markets Desk · Jun 12, 2026, 7:59 PM EDT
Dell Technologies Inc is not a blank forecast page: TECHi is currently tracking 26 analyst ratings, with consensus at Buy and a rating score of 3.85. That score matters, and dispersion tells you whether this consensus is broad or clustered.
The primary target is $500.00, implying +25.31% from the latest quoted price. TECHi still separates the base target from the bull and bear range because the spread is what tells investors whether analysts agree or are simply clustering around a headline number.
Use the rest of this page to compare the rating split, estimate revisions, and peer forecasts. When target data is available, the same module expands into explicit bull, base, and bear scenarios with the high and low targets shown below.
TECHi Signal model
Forecast math with source coverage and horizon history.
Evidence lab
Balanced watch
Dashboard score
57
/100
1 day to 10 years + strategic setup
Low confidence
72 of 76 fields are powering the model.
History progress
Past returns in Signal
Scored windows
5 Years
100/100+724.7%
+52.5% CAGR
$47.97 to $395.57
2021-06-11 to 2026-06-12
5-year progress prioritizes compounding behavior to make strategic drift visible.
1 Year
100/100+254.2%
+254.5% CAGR
$111.67 to $395.57
2025-06-12 to 2026-06-12
1-year progress blends current return with annualized context for cleaner long-cycle comparison.
Last month
100/100+62.2%
CAGR unavailable
$243.87 to $395.57
2026-05-13 to 2026-06-12
1-month progress reflects recent tape with less sensitivity than daily windows.
Last week
51/100+0.3%
CAGR unavailable
$394.39 to $395.57
2026-06-05 to 2026-06-12
1-week progress tracks short-cycle tape and can rotate meaningfully with each close cluster.
Yesterday
57/100+1.1%
CAGR unavailable
$391.45 to $395.57
2026-06-11 to 2026-06-12
1-day progress tracks latest close-to-close momentum from tape.
2 empty progress windows are hidden until enough closes exist.
A-Z factor map
Available scoring inputs
25/26 factors
1 unscored inputs are hidden until the quote stack has verified fields for them.
Balance sheet
Cash runway
Balance sheet · 29/100
Current 0.95x; cash/debt 0.37x
Method
Checks liquidity, leverage, and balance-sheet room.
Data coverage
Zero-missing risk
Data coverage · 64/100
7 missing fields
Method
Shows how much the model is relying on available fields versus placeholders.
External view
Analyst conviction
External view · 68/100
Consensus 3.85; upside +21.3%; disagreement +122.1%
Method
Uses consensus, target spread, target disagreement, revisions, and latest EPS surprise.
Implied upside
External view · 79/100
Target move +21.3%; disagreement +122.1%
Method
Measures analyst target room versus the latest quote and flags wide high-low target dispersion.
Forecast
Upside scenarios
Forecast · 57/100
Future 54/100; analyst 68/100
Method
Combines TECHi future-value signal with outside target support.
Fundamental proof
Earnings accuracy
Fundamental proof · 84/100
Positive EPS surprise rate 84/100
Method
Grades whether reported earnings have beaten estimates when history is available.
Growth
Growth pulse
Growth · 68/100
Revenue +87.5%; EPS +2.8%
Method
Compares latest YoY sales and earnings momentum.
Year-over-year proof
Growth · 69/100
1M windows 67/100; 3M windows 72/100
Method
Looks for repeated conversion from past setups into later closes.
Momentum
Jump signal
Momentum · 51/100
5D return +0.3%
Method
Captures the newest short-term price impulse.
52-week position
Momentum · 89/100
Range position +80.4%
Method
Scores trend strength while trimming crowded highs.
Quality
Free cash flow
Quality · 36/100
FCF margin +2.3%; yield +1.2%
Method
Connects profit quality to cash generation and market value.
Key margins
Quality · 31/100
Gross +19.2%; operating +8.9%
Method
Rewards margin breadth before assigning quality confidence.
Operating leverage
Quality · 42/100
Operating margin +8.9%
Method
Shows whether revenue is converting into operating profit.
Quality trend
Quality · 50/100
Quality composite 50/100
Method
Combines margins, returns, growth, and cash conversion.
Risk
Beta risk
Risk · 80/100
Beta 1.378
Method
Lower and steadier beta earns a stronger risk-adjusted score.
Sentiment
News tone
Sentiment · 56/100
8 headlines; neutral
Method
Headline breadth and sentiment are capped so news does not overpower data.
Strategic
Leadership depth
Strategic · 65/100
1 named executives
Method
Adds C-suite coverage for execution visibility.
Social/developer
Strategic · 50/100
Social composite 50/100
Method
Uses verified public channels and developer gravity when available.
Technical risk
Drawdown control
Technical risk · 46/100
90D max drawdown -20.6%
Method
Scores whether recent losses stayed controlled versus the latest peak.
Technicals
MACD pressure
Technicals · 20/100
MACD hist -2.86; slope -1.02
Method
Reads MACD line pressure against its signal line plus histogram direction.
RSI balance
Technicals · 67/100
RSI 14 64.5; Stoch %K 56.8
Method
Rewards constructive oscillator momentum without extreme overbought stretch.
Technical tape
Technicals · 63/100
20D +59.6%; ATR 7%; %B 0.66
Method
Blends returns, SMA/EMA crosses (above), RSI, MACD, Stochastic, Bollinger Bands, ATR, volume, volatility, and drawdown.
Volume confirmation
Technicals · 38/100
Volume 6.1M vs avg 10.3M
Method
Checks whether price movement is confirmed by trading activity.
Validation
History depth
Validation · 100/100
1878 closes analyzed
Method
More closes improve backtest coverage and reduce thin-history risk.
Valuation
PE and PEG
Valuation · 79/100
Forward PE 21.55x; PEG 0.65x; EV/Sales 2.06x
Method
Penalizes expensive multiples unless growth support is visible.
Composite formula
Composite = normalized weighted sum (14% quality trend, 12% technical tape, 12% momentum, 12% track record validation, 11% future value, 10% valuation, 10% analyst/revision, 7% risk brake, 6% news sentiment, 4% leadership, 2% social/developer traction), confidence-adjusted toward neutral by input coverage^0.7 x freshness factor x missing-critical-field penalty x analyst-disagreement penalty
Strategic inputs
0 roadmap items, 1 leadership roles, 0 social/developer channels, human-impact lens unavailable.
Factual coverage
87/100 from 105/112 sourced fields, 67% live source health, and 7 missing fields.
Accuracy trail
10.7% rolling hit rate across 1078 matured horizon scores. Accuracy is a rolling price-history proxy from available closes. Full field-by-field correctness requires storing daily factor snapshots and grading them after each horizon matures.
Guardrail
Buy/Hold/Sell labels are research stances. Predictive accuracy is shown beside the model and should be read with filings, risk tolerance, and current market conditions.
Bull case
+22.5%$488.63
Momentum holds, quality signals stay firm, future-product execution improves, and valuation pressure does not widen.
Base case
+9.8%$438.22
Weighted factor model using price, fundamentals, analyst, sentiment, roadmap, leadership, social traction, and risk inputs.
Stress case
-1.2%$394.23
Volatility, missing-data, valuation, and balance-sheet brakes are applied to the setup.
Horizon model
Horizon matrix
Timeframe-specific weights: trading windows lean on tape; investor windows lean on quality, valuation, and revisions; strategic windows lean on future value.
Trading windows
1-30 day tape, momentum, and event risk.
1 Day
66/100 signal · 20/100 conf · 87/100 facts
+1.0%
$402.99
Drivers Momentum setup 78/100 · Technical tape 63/100
7 Days
66/100 signal · 20/100 conf · 87/100 facts
+2.0%
$406.98
Drivers Momentum setup 78/100 · Technical tape 63/100
15 Days
66/100 signal · 20/100 conf · 87/100 facts
+3.0%
$410.97
Drivers Momentum setup 78/100 · Technical tape 63/100
30 Days
66/100 signal · 23/100 conf · 87/100 facts
+4.8%
$418.15
Drivers Momentum setup 78/100 · Analyst/revision signal 68/100
Investor windows
Quarterly setup through one-year thesis checks.
3 Months
63/100 signal · 23/100 conf · 87/100 facts
+6.1%
$423.34
Drivers Valuation pressure 73/100 · Momentum setup 78/100
6 Months
62/100 signal · 23/100 conf · 87/100 facts
+8.1%
$431.32
Drivers Valuation pressure 73/100 · Analyst/revision signal 68/100
1 Year
62/100 signal · 25/100 conf · 87/100 facts
+13.1%
$451.27
Drivers Valuation pressure 73/100 · Analyst/revision signal 68/100
Strategic windows
Multi-year durability, leadership, and future value.
3 Years
60/100 signal · 28/100 conf · 87/100 facts
+20.2%
$479.60
Drivers Valuation pressure 73/100 · Analyst/revision signal 68/100
5 Years
60/100 signal · 28/100 conf · 87/100 facts
+30.2%
$519.50
Drivers Valuation pressure 73/100 · Track record validation 83/100
10 Years
59/100 signal · 28/100 conf · 87/100 facts
+39.3%
$555.81
Drivers Valuation pressure 73/100 · Leadership depth 65/100
Price-direction backtest
Daily scoring history
Tests whether the model's price-derived direction matched later closes — it does not yet validate the fundamental, analyst, or sentiment factors, which need persisted daily snapshots. Unmatured and multi-year lanes are still processing.
1 Day
18.7%
219 daily scores · 2.9% avg error
Latest: Hold +0.7% vs +1.1% actual
7 Days
11.7%
213 daily scores · 9.0% avg error
Latest: Buy +2.1% vs -6.1% actual
15 Days
8.3%
205 daily scores · 14.7% avg error
Latest: Hold +2.0% vs +56.5% actual
30 Days
6.3%
190 daily scores · 25.3% avg error
Latest: Hold +2.4% vs +89.3% actual
3 Months
12.1%
157 daily scores · 44.3% avg error
Latest: Hold +2.2% vs +161.7% actual
6 Months
1.1%
94 daily scores · 54.6% avg error
Latest: Hold +1.4% vs +183.5% actual
4 horizon lanes are hidden until enough future closes mature.
7 validation lanes need daily factor snapshots before TECHi shows historical accuracy for them.
Technical tape
Price-tested15.2%
432 samples · latest 2026-06-11
Validated daily from historical price tape: SMA, RSI, MACD, volatility, drawdown, and short returns.
Momentum setup
Price-tested8.9%
608 samples · latest 2026-06-03
Validated from rolling forward returns after trend and range-position signals.
Track record validation
Price-tested8.9%
347 samples · latest 2026-04-30
Validated from recurring positive-return windows, long-run CAGR, and earnings-surprise evidence where available.
Risk brake
Price-tested8.7%
552 samples · latest 2026-05-21
Validated as a price-history proxy: volatility, drawdown, and risk brakes are checked against later downside/upside behavior.
Analyst consensus
What the street actually thinks right now.
DELL currently has 26 analyst entries with a live Wall Street consensus score of 3.85 (Buy) .
Dispersion score: 0.77 · Moderate Consensus Divergence.
Adjusted score for spread: 3.52 · used to reduce false certainty when recommendations are split.
Consensus read: Tilted positive
Signal-vs-consensus divergence
DELL current TECHi Signal stance against analyst consensus.
Consensus: 3.85 (Buy) · Signal: 3.28 (Balanced watch) · gap -0.57 on the 1-5 scale
Dispersion reliability: usable. If consensus is split, a small gap is still meaningful, while a wide gap usually means framing differences.
TECHi Signal is more cautious than consensus.
TECHi Signal can diverge from consensus on 3M+ horizons because it blends data snapshots, governance signals, leadership quality, and quant scores (Altman Z, ROIC, Rule of 40, FCF yield) alongside standard analyst inputs.
- Consensus
- Buy
- Rating score
- 3.85
- 1 sell to 5 strong buy scale
- Adjusted score
- 3.52
- Disciplined by disagreement
- Buy weight
- 69%
- 18 buy / strong buy
- Hold + Sell pressure
- 31%
- 8 hold + sell
Current distribution of recommendations in TECHi’s analyst dataset.
Analyst strength
Buy and strong-buy split
Buy minus sell
Analyst indecision proxy
Forward estimates
What analysts are modeling for the next year.
- Revenue estimate
- $188.37B
- Range $137.50B to $222.88B
- Revenue analysts
- 26
- Contributors in estimate data
- EPS estimate
- 18.35
- Range 9.67 to 23.66
- EPS analysts
- 8
- Contributors in estimate data
- EPS revisions 30d
- 4 up / 0 down
- Trailing 30-day estimate changes
Forecast math
The real risk and reward behind the numbers.
These numbers answer one retail-investor question: if you buy today, how much reward or risk are analysts putting on the table?
Moves vs current price
Primary target vs live price
Highest target vs live price
Lowest target vs live price
Spread & asymmetry
Gap between the highest and lowest targets
Bull upside divided by bear downside
Bull target above the base target
Bear target below the base target
Scenario framing
What the DELL target range actually means for each scenario.
Bull case
$700.00
+75.44% from current
Highest active analyst target. Represents the most optimistic execution scenario currently modeled by sell-side desks.
In plain English: the best-case number on the table today if everything goes perfectly.
Base case
$500.00
+25.31% from current
Median 12-month target from the latest sell-side data.
In plain English: this is the single number most analysts are clustering around right now.
Bear case
$213.00
-46.62% from current
Lowest active target. Captures the bear-case execution risk in current models — not necessarily a price the market expects to print.
In plain English: the worst-case number analysts are still publishing, even if they don’t expect it to happen.
Frequently asked
Common questions.
What is the price target for DELL?
Dell Technologies Inc's current TECHi forecast view shows a primary 12-month target of $500.00, or +25.31% from the latest quoted price. High / low target range data is shown only when the latest provider data supplies it.
Is DELL a buy?
DELL is currently rated Buy in TECHi's forecast view, based on 26 analysts tracked. The mix is 18 buy or strong buy (69%), 7 hold (27%), and 1 sell or strong sell (4%).
What is DELL's 12-month forecast?
Twelve-month price targets — including the median Wall Street target and high / low range — are published on the TECHi DELL forecast page.
How accurate are TECHi's DELL forecasts?
TECHi tracks public forecast calls against later market prices and shows accuracy modules only when enough historical target and closing-price data exists. If the DELL target range is pending, TECHi does not publish a made-up accuracy score.
What is the analyst consensus on DELL?
The DELL Forecast and Analysis page tracks the sell-side consensus rating, buy/hold/sell split, target dispersion, and bull/base/bear scenarios for Dell Technologies Inc.
How is DELL's analyst mix changing?
The Forecast and Analysis page is the place to read the recommendation mix, target-revision context, 12-month target range, and bull/base/bear scenario math.
Where do DELL rating signals fit in the quote workflow?
Ratings and price-target scenarios live together on Forecast and Analysis because desk sentiment explains the target range. Earnings dates and payouts live on Earnings and Dividends; valuation ratios live on Statistics.
Where can I see TECHi analyst research on DELL?
TECHi's own analyst notes on Dell Technologies Inc (when published) appear in a dedicated card below the consensus block, with deep links to the full research report.