Forecast & analysis
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) Stock Forecast & Analyst Ratings
Median target, highest and lowest analyst targets, buy/hold/sell mix, and target range width from the latest analyst data.
Section freshness
Fundamentals checked Sep 26, 7:32 AM EDT · Statements Jun 30, 2026
Forecast read
TSLA target implies +6.59% from current.
Use this dashboard to see whether Wall Street expects TSLA to grow, stall, or drop before you dive into the raw financial data.
Price target map
Today to 12 months out
Data last updated: Sep 25, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
Consensus target
$396.62
+6.59% from current
Consensus
Buy
61 analysts tracked
Rating score
3.54
Analyst consensus score on 1-5 scale
Dispersion
0.92
Moderate Consensus Divergence
TSLA scenario builder
Set your revenue, net margin, diluted share count and exit P/E. All three cases start from the same available baseline; edit them to express distinct assumptions. These are your scenarios, not analyst price targets.
EPS = revenue × net margin ÷ diluted shares. Price = EPS × exit P/E. This simplified model excludes dividends, discounting and financing changes beyond your share-count assumption. Baseline shares use current shares outstanding; adjust for expected dilution. Revenue and margin are trailing figures; the multiple may use a forward earnings basis.
Analyst target distribution
- Mean
- $396.62
- Median
- $415.00
- High / low
- $600.00 / $125.00
- Analysts
- 61
Estimate revision momentum
0 upgrades / 2 downgrades in 30 days.
Individual analyst targets are not available yet. TECHi does not publish a bull, base, or bear price of its own.
- Highest analyst target
- $600.00
- +61.24% from the current price
- Lowest analyst target
- $125.00
- -66.41% from the current price
- Target distribution
- $125.00 to $600.00
- Low to high stored analyst target
TECHi take
TSLA consensus has a target, but the rating mix still matters.
TECHi Markets Desk · Sep 25, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
TECHi is tracking 61 analyst ratings on Tesla Inc., with consensus at Buy and a rating score of 3.54. Dispersion tells you whether that consensus is broad or clustered.
The primary target is $396.62, implying +6.59% from the latest quoted price. The highest and lowest stored targets are analyst extremes, not TECHi bull or bear scenarios.
Use the sections below to compare the rating split, estimate revisions, and peer forecasts. TECHi does not publish a separate bull, base, or bear price, because the assumptions for those scenarios are not stored. The highest and lowest stored analyst targets are shown below.
Separate model
This page is the analyst forecast. The TECHi model is a different question.
Price targets and scenarios stay here. The factor scores, horizon matrix, and backtest are on the Signal page, so the two URLs do not answer the same query.
Open the TSLA modelAnalyst consensus
What the street actually thinks right now.
TSLA currently has 61 analyst entries and a rating score of 3.54 (Buy). Provider: Finnhub. Scale mapping: Strong Sell 1 → Strong Buy 5. Data updated: 2026-09-26. Analyst count: 61.
Dispersion score: 0.92 · Moderate Consensus Divergence.
Adjusted score for spread: 3.29 · used to reduce false certainty when recommendations are split.
Consensus read: Mixed coverage
Signal-vs-consensus divergence
TSLA current TECHi Signal stance against analyst consensus.
Consensus: 3.54 (Buy) · Signal: 3.04 (Balanced watch) · gap -0.50 on the 1-5 scale
Dispersion reliability: usable. If consensus is split, a small gap is still meaningful, while a wide gap usually means framing differences.
TECHi Signal is more cautious than consensus.
TECHi Signal can diverge from consensus on 3M+ horizons because it blends financial data, governance signals, leadership quality, and quant scores (Altman Z, ROIC, Rule of 40, FCF yield) alongside standard analyst inputs.
- Consensus
- Buy
- Rating score
- 3.54
- Provider: Finnhub. Scale mapping: Strong Sell 1 → Strong Buy 5. Data updated: 2026-09-26. Analyst count: 61.
- Adjusted score
- 3.29
- Pulled toward neutral when the target range is wide
- Buy weight
- 49%
- 30 buy / strong buy
- Hold + Sell pressure
- 51%
- 31 hold + sell
Current distribution of recommendations in TECHi’s analyst dataset.
Analyst strength
Buy and strong-buy split
Buy minus sell
Analyst indecision proxy
Forward estimates
What analysts are modeling for the next year.
- Revenue estimate
- $106.27B
- Range $96.45B to $114.13B
- Revenue analysts
- 42
- Contributors in estimate data
- EPS estimate
- 1.77
- Range 1.36 to 2.39
- EPS analysts
- 33
- Contributors in estimate data
- EPS revisions 30d
- 0 up / 2 down
- Trailing 30-day estimate changes
Forecast math
The real risk and reward behind the numbers.
These numbers answer one retail-investor question: if you buy today, how much reward or risk are analysts putting on the table?
Moves vs current price
Mean or median target vs the current price
Highest analyst target vs the current price
Lowest analyst target vs the current price
Spread & asymmetry
Highest-target upside divided by lowest-target downside
Highest analyst target above the central target
Lowest analyst target below the central target
Analyst target interpretation
What the TSLA analyst target range means.
Highest analyst target
$600.00
+61.24% from current
This is the highest stored sell-side target. It is not a TECHi bull scenario.
Central analyst target
$396.62
+6.59% from current
Consensus 12-month target from the latest sell-side data. Median target $415.00.
In plain English: this is the single number most analysts are clustering around right now.
Lowest analyst target
$125.00
-66.41% from current
This is the lowest stored sell-side target. It is not a TECHi bear scenario.
Peer forecasts
Compare TSLA to peers.
TSLA vs AMZN
Compare AMZN forecast
Amazon.com Inc.
Buy · 74 analysts
Target implied move +31.99%
TSLA vs QS
Compare QS forecast
QuantumScape Corporation
Sell · 17 analysts
Target implied move +35.69%
TSLA vs ABNB
Compare ABNB forecast
Airbnb Inc.
Buy · 51 analysts
Target implied move +17.07%
TSLA vs BABA
Compare BABA forecast
Alibaba Group
Buy · 47 analysts
Target implied move +68.74%
These forecast links keep the comparison path focused on covered TECHi quote pages; target data appears only when each ticker has enough analyst coverage.
Frequently asked
Common questions.
Is TSLA a buy?
Analysts currently rate Tesla Inc. (TSLA) "Buy" across 61 tracked ratings (30 buy, 25 hold, and 6 sell). The primary 12-month target is $396.62 (+6.59% from the latest quote). This is the reported Wall Street consensus, not personalized investment advice — review the full rating mix and the stored target range before deciding.
What is the price target for TSLA?
Analysts' primary 12-month price target for TSLA is $396.62 (+6.59% from the latest quote).
What is the analyst consensus on TSLA?
TSLA's current analyst consensus is Buy across 61 tracked ratings.
What is TSLA's 12-month forecast?
Analysts' 12-month price targets for TSLA run from $125.00 at the low end to $600.00 at the high end, with a primary target of $396.62 (+6.59% from the latest quote).
What analysis is available for TSLA?
The TSLA Forecast page brings together the analyst rating mix, 12-month target range, bull, base, and bear scenarios, catalysts, and risk context for Tesla Inc.
Does TECHi publish its own TSLA research?
Related TECHi analyst notes appear when a reviewed report is connected to TSLA; consensus-provider data remains separately identified.
How to use this page
Use this to answer the core investor question for this tab.
Best for Focused evidence that complements the main quote dashboard.
Weak when Provider data is delayed, sparse, or not yet confirmed by filings.
Street view
Buy
Target $396.62
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