NasdaqGS / Technology
$215.33
Quote as of May 22, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
After-hours NasdaqGS quote as of May 22, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Extended-hours prices can sit outside the regular-session range.
Market data feed
NVIDIA designs the graphics processors and full-stack AI systems powering model training, data-center inference, gaming, professional visualization, robotics, and accelerated computing. The Blackwell family is the de-facto accelerator platform for hyperscalers, with Rubin and Feynman extending the roadmap.
Profile data: TECHi Brain
Chart
Today pos.
8%
Current price in day range
Vs open
-$5.57 / -2.52%
Intraday follow-through
Opening gap
+0.64%
Open vs previous close
Volume
169.28M
169.28M traded
Trade access
Affiliate disclosure: TECHi may earn a commission on links to broker partners. Read more.
Investment snapshot
NVIDIA designs the graphics processors and full-stack AI systems powering model training, data-center inference, gaming, professional visualization, robotics, and accelerated computing. The Blackwell family is the de-facto accelerator platform for hyperscalers, with Rubin and Feynman extending the roadmap.
Valuation frame
$5.22T market cap
Forward P/E 24.57; compare that multiple with peers before treating the move as cheap or expensive.
Trend context
Chart-led
The chart card owns live tape and range context; use this snapshot for the investment read.
Next catalyst
Catalyst feed pending
No scheduled catalyst is confirmed yet. Latest TECHi context: Nvidia's $81.6B AI Factory Quarter: The Honest Read
Risk flag
Coverage gaps
7 tracked fields are pending; TECHi keeps unavailable data visible instead of filling with guessed values.
Formula outlook
Positive but selective. Strongest input: quality trend (84/100). Main brake: valuation pressure (46/100). Model confidence is 93/100 from 63 of 68 available inputs. Historical progress: 20 Years +58610.1% total (100/100 progress score); yesterday -1.9%. Rolling price-history validation is 22.7% across 1078 matured horizon scores; full field-by-field accuracy still needs stored daily snapshots.
70
/100
1 day to 10 years + strategic setup
High confidence
63 of 68 fields are powering the model.
History progress
Past returns feeding forecast
20Y to 1D
20 Years
100/100+58610.1%
+37.5% CAGR
$0.3668 to $215.33
2006-05-22 to 2026-05-22
Long-run progress uses historical return and annualized compounding where enough data exists.
10 Years
100/100+19739.7%
+69.7% CAGR
$1.09 to $215.33
2016-05-20 to 2026-05-22
Long-run progress uses historical return and annualized compounding where enough data exists.
5 Years
100/100+1339.9%
+70.4% CAGR
$14.95 to $215.33
2021-05-21 to 2026-05-22
Long-run progress uses historical return and annualized compounding where enough data exists.
1 Year
100/100+62.1%
+62.2% CAGR
$132.80 to $215.33
2025-05-22 to 2026-05-22
Long-run progress uses historical return and annualized compounding where enough data exists.
Last month
69/100+7.9%
CAGR pending
$199.64 to $215.33
2026-04-23 to 2026-05-22
Short-window progress reads the latest tape; it can change materially after the next close.
Last week
34/100-4.4%
CAGR pending
$225.32 to $215.33
2026-05-15 to 2026-05-22
Short-window progress reads the latest tape; it can change materially after the next close.
Yesterday
38/100-1.9%
CAGR pending
$219.51 to $215.33
2026-05-21 to 2026-05-22
Short-window progress reads the latest tape; it can change materially after the next close.
A-Z factor map
Every scoring input shown
26 factors
Analyst conviction
External view · 82/100
Consensus 4.25; upside +36.6%
Uses consensus, target spread, revisions, and latest EPS surprise.
Beta risk
Risk · 52/100
Beta 2.244
Lower and steadier beta earns a stronger risk-adjusted score.
Cash runway
Balance sheet · 73/100
Current 3.44x; cash/debt 0.93x
Checks liquidity, leverage, and balance-sheet room.
Drawdown control
Technical risk · 60/100
90D max drawdown -15.5%
Scores whether recent losses stayed controlled versus the latest peak.
Earnings accuracy
Fundamental proof · 90/100
Positive EPS surprise rate 90/100
Grades whether reported earnings have beaten estimates when history is available.
Free cash flow
Quality · 51/100
FCF margin +19.2%; yield +0.9%
Connects profit quality to cash generation and market value.
Growth pulse
Growth · 68/100
Revenue +85.2%; EPS +2.1%
Compares latest YoY sales and earnings momentum.
History depth
Validation · 100/100
6680 closes analyzed
More closes improve backtest coverage and reduce thin-history risk.
Implied upside
External view · 99/100
Target spread +36.6%
Measures analyst target room versus the latest quote.
Jump signal
Momentum · 38/100
5D return -4.4%
Captures the newest short-term price impulse.
Key margins
Quality · 100/100
Gross +74.1%; operating +65.6%
Rewards margin breadth before assigning quality confidence.
Leadership depth
Strategic · 65/100
1 named executives
Adds C-suite coverage for execution visibility.
MACD pressure
Technicals · 29/100
MACD histogram -0.87
Reads whether trend momentum is accelerating or fading.
News tone
Sentiment · 67/100
8 headlines; pending
Headline breadth and sentiment are capped so news does not overpower data.
Operating leverage
Quality · 100/100
Operating margin +65.6%
Shows whether revenue is converting into operating profit.
PE and PEG
Valuation · 54/100
Forward PE 24.57x; PEG 0.66x; EV/Sales 20.31x
Penalizes expensive multiples unless growth support is visible.
Quality trend
Quality · 84/100
Quality composite 84/100
Combines margins, returns, growth, and cash conversion.
RSI balance
Technicals · 81/100
RSI 14 62.5
Rewards constructive momentum without extreme overbought stretch.
Social/developer
Strategic · 77/100
Social composite 77/100
Uses verified public channels and developer gravity when available.
Technical tape
Technicals · 58/100
20D +3.4%; 60D +16.5%
Blends returns, averages, RSI, MACD, volume, volatility, and drawdown.
Upside scenarios
Forecast · 79/100
Future 72/100; analyst 82/100
Combines internal future-value signal with outside target support.
Volume confirmation
Technicals · Pending
Volume 169.3M vs avg Pending
Checks whether price movement is confirmed by trading activity.
52-week position
Momentum · 88/100
Range position +79.5%
Scores trend strength while trimming crowded highs.
Execution roadmap
Strategic · 82/100
4 roadmap items
Uses roadmap impact and horizon breadth for forward-value context.
Year-over-year proof
Growth · 71/100
1M windows 69/100; 3M windows 79/100
Looks for repeated conversion from past setups into later closes.
Zero-missing risk
Data coverage · 73/100
7 missing fields
Shows how much the model is relying on available fields versus placeholders.
Composite formula
12% technical tape, 12% momentum, 12% track record validation, 14% quality, 11% future value, 10% valuation, 10% analyst/revision, 6% sentiment, 4% leadership, 2% social/developer, 7% risk brake.
Strategic inputs
4 roadmap items, 1 leadership roles, 5 social/developer channels, human-impact lens pending.
Factual coverage
86/100 from 95/102 sourced fields, 50% live feed health, and 7 missing fields.
Accuracy trail
22.7% rolling hit rate across 1078 matured horizon scores. Accuracy is a rolling price-history proxy from available closes. Full field-by-field correctness requires storing daily factor snapshots and grading them after each horizon matures.
Bull case
+36.1%$292.96
Momentum holds, quality signals stay firm, future-product execution improves, and valuation pressure does not widen.
Base case
+17.6%$253.25
Weighted factor model using price, fundamentals, analyst, sentiment, roadmap, leadership, social traction, and risk inputs.
Stress case
-0.3%$214.59
Volatility, missing-data, valuation, and balance-sheet brakes are applied to the setup.
Horizon model
Each row changes the formula weights: short windows lean on technicals and tape; long windows lean on quality, valuation, leadership, and future value.
Horizon
1 Day
65/100 signal
Technical tape 58/100 · Momentum setup 62/100 · Risk brake 78/100
Intraday-sensitive. Treat as tape risk, not a forecast.
42% technicals + 26% momentum + 12% sentiment + 10% risk + 6% analyst + 4% quality + 2% trackRecord
+2.8%
$221.36
92/100 conf · 86/100 facts
13.2% hit · 219 scored
Horizon
7 Days
67/100 signal
Analyst/revision signal 82/100 · Momentum setup 62/100 · Risk brake 78/100
One-week setup. News and technical reversals can dominate fundamentals.
34% technicals + 24% momentum + 14% sentiment + 10% analyst + 10% risk + 8% quality + 4% trackRecord
+6.4%
$229.11
92/100 conf · 86/100 facts
12.7% hit · 213 scored
Horizon
15 Days
67/100 signal
Analyst/revision signal 82/100 · Quality trend 84/100 · Momentum setup 62/100
Short swing setup. Earnings dates and macro prints can overwhelm the model.
29% technicals + 22% momentum + 14% sentiment + 13% analyst + 10% quality + 6% valuation + 6% risk + 4% trackRecord
+9.6%
$236.00
92/100 conf · 86/100 facts
17.1% hit · 205 scored
Horizon
30 Days
68/100 signal
Analyst/revision signal 82/100 · Quality trend 84/100 · Momentum setup 62/100
One-month setup. Best read with earnings calendar and options positioning.
22% technicals + 20% momentum + 16% analyst + 12% sentiment + 12% quality + 10% valuation + 8% risk + 6% trackRecord
+15.3%
$248.28
92/100 conf · 86/100 facts
30.0% hit · 190 scored
Horizon
3 Months
70/100 signal
Analyst/revision signal 82/100 · Quality trend 84/100 · Track record validation 81/100
Quarterly setup. Guidance, margin trend, and estimate revisions matter most.
18% analyst + 17% momentum + 16% quality + 15% technicals + 13% valuation + 10% future + 9% trackRecord + 6% sentiment + 5% risk
+26.5%
$272.39
92/100 conf · 86/100 facts
38.9% hit · 157 scored
Horizon
6 Months
71/100 signal
Quality trend 84/100 · Analyst/revision signal 82/100 · Track record validation 81/100
Two-quarter setup. Watch estimate revisions and balance-sheet risk.
19% quality + 18% analyst + 16% valuation + 14% future + 12% momentum + 11% trackRecord + 9% technicals + 6% sentiment + 6% risk
+39.7%
$300.82
92/100 conf · 86/100 facts
38.3% hit · 94 scored
Horizon
1 Year
71/100 signal
Quality trend 84/100 · Analyst/revision signal 82/100 · Track record validation 81/100
Twelve-month research signal. Compare with analyst targets and filings.
20% quality + 18% analyst + 18% valuation + 16% future + 13% trackRecord + 10% momentum + 6% technicals + 5% leadership + 4% sentiment + 3% risk
+64.5%
$354.22
92/100 conf · 86/100 facts
Pending hit · 0 scored
Horizon
3 Years
72/100 signal
Quality trend 84/100 · Future value 72/100 · Track record validation 81/100
Multi-year thesis signal. Execution quality matters more than current tape.
24% quality + 21% future + 17% valuation + 14% trackRecord + 10% leadership + 9% analyst + 8% risk + 5% momentum + 4% social + 2% sentiment
+124.7%
$483.85
91/100 conf · 86/100 facts
Pending hit · 0 scored
Horizon
5 Years
72/100 signal
Quality trend 84/100 · Future value 72/100 · Track record validation 81/100
Long-term compounding signal. Needs repeated validation after each filing cycle.
26% quality + 23% future + 15% valuation + 15% trackRecord + 12% leadership + 9% risk + 6% social + 4% analyst + 3% momentum + 2% sentiment
+187.1%
$618.21
91/100 conf · 86/100 facts
Pending hit · 0 scored
Horizon
10 Years
73/100 signal
Quality trend 84/100 · Future value 72/100 · Track record validation 81/100
Decade thesis signal. This is strategic durability, not a price target.
27% quality + 25% future + 16% trackRecord + 14% leadership + 12% valuation + 10% risk + 6% social + 3% analyst + 2% momentum + 1% sentiment
+282.6%
$823.85
91/100 conf · 86/100 facts
Pending hit · 0 scored
Model validation
The 1-day model is rescored for every available close. Longer horizons are scored when enough future sessions have matured; strategic factors stay pending until daily snapshots are stored.
1 Day
13.2%
219 daily scores · 1.8% avg error
Latest: Hold +0.5% vs -1.9% actual
7 Days
12.7%
213 daily scores · 4.1% avg error
Latest: Hold +1.5% vs -4.6% actual
15 Days
17.1%
205 daily scores · 5.2% avg error
Latest: Hold +1.1% vs +8.5% actual
30 Days
30.0%
190 daily scores · 6.6% avg error
Latest: Hold +1.9% vs +14.2% actual
3 Months
38.9%
157 daily scores · 5.7% avg error
Latest: Hold +2.6% vs +12.4% actual
6 Months
38.3%
94 daily scores · 6.1% avg error
Latest: Hold +2.6% vs +15.5% actual
1 Year
Pending
0 daily scores · Pending% avg error
Latest: waiting for matured closes
3 Years
Pending
0 daily scores · Pending% avg error
Latest: waiting for matured closes
5 Years
Pending
0 daily scores · Pending% avg error
Latest: waiting for matured closes
10 Years
Pending
0 daily scores · Pending% avg error
Latest: waiting for matured closes
Technical tape
Scored13.0%
432 samples · latest 2026-05-21
Validated daily from historical price tape: SMA, RSI, MACD, volatility, drawdown, and short returns.
Momentum setup
Scored19.6%
608 samples · latest 2026-05-13
Validated from rolling forward returns after trend and range-position signals.
Track record validation
Scored34.0%
347 samples · latest 2026-04-10
Validated from recurring positive-return windows, long-run CAGR, and earnings-surprise evidence where available.
Quality trend
PendingPending
0 samples
Needs daily saved fundamentals snapshots to grade whether margin, ROE/ROA, and cash-flow quality predicted later returns.
Future value
PendingPending
0 samples
Needs daily saved roadmap and strategic-impact snapshots before historical correctness can be scored.
Valuation pressure
PendingPending
0 samples
Needs historical valuation snapshots so the model can compare multiple compression/expansion against later returns.
Analyst/revision signal
PendingPending
0 samples
Needs daily analyst target, revision, and earnings-estimate snapshots to score upgrade/downgrade correctness.
News sentiment
PendingPending
0 samples
Needs daily sentiment snapshots; current page has 8 headline inputs but not a stored historical sentiment series.
Leadership depth
PendingPending
0 samples
Leadership is a slow-moving strategic factor; score it after saved profile changes and multi-quarter outcomes.
Social/developer traction
PendingPending
0 samples
Needs saved social/developer follower and engagement snapshots before trend correctness can be graded.
Risk brake
Scored27.7%
552 samples · latest 2026-05-01
Validated as a price-history proxy: volatility, drawdown, and risk brakes are checked against later downside/upside behavior.
Technical tape
5D/20D/60D returns + SMA 20/50/200 + RSI 14 + MACD + volume + volatility
58/100
Uses the live quote and the shared one-year chart to score trend, stretch, confirmation, and risk.
10/11 inputs available
Momentum setup
Range position + price vs averages + session move + 20D/60D returns + liquidity multiple
62/100
Rewards confirmed trend, but trims extremes near the top of the range.
7/8 inputs available
Track record validation
All-time CAGR + one-year positive windows + EPS surprise hit rate + distance from all-time high + listing depth
81/100
Checks whether the stock has repeatedly converted setups into later closes, not just one live snapshot.
8/8 inputs available
Quality trend
Margins + ROE/ROA + revenue growth + earnings growth + free-cash-flow conversion
84/100
Looks for a business that can convert growth into durable profit, cash flow, and returns.
9/9 inputs available
Future value
Product roadmap + human impact + forward growth estimates + capital runway
72/100
Adds a strategic lens for upcoming products, real-world usefulness, growth support, and balance-sheet runway.
6/7 inputs available
Valuation pressure
Forward/trailing multiple + price/sales + price/book + EV/sales + PEG + FCF yield + target spread
46/100
Higher score means the current multiple has more room relative to growth and targets.
8/8 inputs available
Analyst/revision signal
Consensus score + implied upside + latest EPS surprise + EPS estimate revisions
82/100
Blends outside target data, surprise history, and whether estimates are moving up or down.
4/4 inputs available
News sentiment
Average news sentiment score + dominant label + current headline breadth
67/100
Captures current narrative pressure without letting headlines dominate the model.
1/3 inputs available
Leadership depth
CEO + CFO/COO/CTO/CPO/CMO coverage + named executive depth
65/100
Rewards leadership visibility across finance, operations, technology, product, and go-to-market roles.
1/1 inputs available
Social/developer traction
X/Twitter + GitHub + LinkedIn + YouTube + other public audience signals
77/100
Captures community and developer gravity where verified handles or follower snapshots are available.
1/1 inputs available
Risk brake
Beta + leverage + liquidity + size + volatility + drawdown + history + missing fields
78/100
Penalizes volatility, leverage, weak liquidity, thin history, sparse provider coverage, and recent drawdowns.
8/8 inputs available
Composite = 12% technical tape + 12% momentum + 12% track record validation + 14% quality + 11% future value + 10% valuation + 10% analyst/revision + 6% sentiment + 4% leadership + 2% social/developer traction + 7% risk brake, confidence-adjusted toward neutral when fields are missing.
Scenario prices blend live market fields with roadmap, leadership, human-impact, and social/developer inputs; they are not analyst price targets.
Buy/Hold/Sell is the formula label for the selected horizon, not personal financial advice. Use it beside filings, risk tolerance, and current market conditions.
4 roadmap inputs in the future-value lens.
1 named C-suite roles tracked.
5 social and developer channels available.
Price timestamps show the latest available trade from the active session or the most recent regular-market close. Fundamentals, analyst data, and news timestamps show when that section's feed was checked or published.
Help · FAQ
4 snapshot answers — regenerated with the quote page so visible FAQ copy follows the current data snapshot.