Forecast & analysis
NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) Stock Forecast & Analyst Ratings
Median target, high/low range, buy/hold/sell mix, conviction spread, and bull/base/bear scenarios from the latest analyst data.
Section freshness
Prices as of Sep 24, 4:00 PM EDT · Fundamentals checked Sep 24, 6:54 PM EDT · Statements Jul 26, 2026
Market pulse
$224.58
NVDA
-0.41%
Day range
$221.09 - $224.90
Market cap
$5.42T
Volume
76.4M
Last tick
Sep 24, 4:00 PM EDT
52-week position
83%
$164.27 - $236.54
Forecast read
NVDA target implies +45.92% from current.
Use this dashboard to see whether Wall Street expects NVDA to grow, stall, or drop before you dive into the raw financial data.
Price target map
Today to 12 months out
Data last updated: Sep 24, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
Consensus target
$327.70
+45.92% from current
Consensus
Buy
69 analysts tracked
Rating score
4.28
Analyst consensus score on 1-5 scale
Dispersion
0.61
Moderate Consensus Divergence
Analyst target distribution
- Mean
- $327.70
- Median
- $315.00
- High / low
- $515.00 / $180.00
- Analysts
- 69
EPS estimate changes over the last 30 days: 39 up and 1 down. A 90-day target change, a month-by-month target history, and a historical consensus accuracy rate are not stored, so this page does not chart them or claim a percent change. TECHi Signal stays a separate model below the Wall Street targets.
- High target
- $515.00
- +129.32% bull case
- Low target
- $180.00
- -19.85% bear case
- Target range width
- +149.17%
- High target minus low target, divided by current price
TECHi take
NVDA consensus has a target, but the rating mix still matters.
TECHi Markets Desk · Sep 24, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
TECHi is tracking 69 analyst ratings on NVIDIA Corp., with consensus at Buy and a rating score of 4.28. Dispersion tells you whether that consensus is broad or clustered.
The primary target is $327.70, implying +45.92% from the latest quoted price. TECHi still separates the base target from the bull and bear range because the spread is what tells investors whether analysts agree or are simply clustering around a headline number.
Use the sections below to compare the rating split, estimate revisions, and peer forecasts. When target data is available, the scenario view expands into explicit bull, base, and bear cases with the high and low targets shown below.
Separate model
This page is the analyst forecast. The TECHi model is a different question.
Price targets and scenarios stay here. The factor scores, horizon matrix, and backtest are on the Signal page, so the two URLs do not answer the same query.
Open the NVDA modelAnalyst consensus
What the street actually thinks right now.
NVDA currently has 69 analyst entries with a live Wall Street consensus score of 4.28 (Buy).
Dispersion score: 0.61 · Moderate Consensus Divergence.
Adjusted score for spread: 3.89 · used to reduce false certainty when recommendations are split.
Consensus read: Lopsided bullish
Signal-vs-consensus divergence
NVDA current TECHi Signal stance against analyst consensus.
Consensus: 4.28 (Buy) · Signal: 3.32 (Balanced watch) · gap -0.96 on the 1-5 scale
Dispersion reliability: usable. If consensus is split, a small gap is still meaningful, while a wide gap usually means framing differences.
TECHi Signal is more cautious than consensus.
TECHi Signal can diverge from consensus on 3M+ horizons because it blends financial data, governance signals, leadership quality, and quant scores (Altman Z, ROIC, Rule of 40, FCF yield) alongside standard analyst inputs.
- Consensus
- Buy
- Rating score
- 4.28
- 1 sell to 5 strong buy scale
- Adjusted score
- 3.89
- Disciplined by disagreement
- Buy weight
- 94%
- 65 buy / strong buy
- Hold + Sell pressure
- 6%
- 4 hold + sell
Current distribution of recommendations in TECHi’s analyst dataset.
Analyst strength
Buy and strong-buy split
Buy minus sell
Analyst indecision proxy
Forward estimates
What analysts are modeling for the next year.
- Revenue estimate
- $411.56B
- Range $403.21B to $426.89B
- Revenue analysts
- 53
- Contributors in estimate data
- EPS estimate
- 9.31
- Range 9.01 to 10.10
- EPS analysts
- 51
- Contributors in estimate data
- EPS revisions 30d
- 39 up / 1 down
- Trailing 30-day estimate changes
Forecast math
The real risk and reward behind the numbers.
These numbers answer one retail-investor question: if you buy today, how much reward or risk are analysts putting on the table?
Moves vs current price
Primary target vs live price
Highest target vs live price
Lowest target vs live price
Spread & asymmetry
Gap between the highest and lowest targets
Bull upside divided by bear downside
Bull target above the base target
Bear target below the base target
Scenario framing
What the NVDA target range actually means for each scenario.
Bull case
$515.00
+129.32% from current
Highest active analyst target. Represents the most optimistic execution scenario currently modeled by sell-side desks.
In plain English: the best-case number on the table today if everything goes perfectly.
Base case
$327.70
+45.92% from current
Consensus 12-month target from the latest sell-side data. Median target $315.00.
In plain English: this is the single number most analysts are clustering around right now.
Bear case
$180.00
-19.85% from current
Lowest active target. Captures the bear-case execution risk in current models — not necessarily a price the market expects to print.
In plain English: the worst-case number analysts are still publishing, even if they don’t expect it to happen.
Frequently asked
Common questions.
Is NVDA a buy?
Analysts currently rate NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) "Buy" across 69 tracked ratings (65 buy, 3 hold, and 1 sell). The primary 12-month target is $327.70 (+45.92% from the latest quote). This is the reported Wall Street consensus, not personalized investment advice — review the full rating mix, dispersion, and bull/base/bear scenarios below before deciding.
What is the price target for NVDA?
Analysts' primary 12-month price target for NVDA is $327.70 (+45.92% from the latest quote).
What is the analyst consensus on NVDA?
NVDA's current analyst consensus is Buy across 69 tracked ratings.
What is NVDA's 12-month forecast?
Analysts' 12-month price targets for NVDA run from $180.00 at the low end to $515.00 at the high end, with a primary target of $327.70 (+45.92% from the latest quote).
What analysis is available for NVDA?
The NVDA Forecast page brings together the analyst rating mix, 12-month target range, bull, base, and bear scenarios, catalysts, and risk context for NVIDIA Corp.
Does TECHi publish its own NVDA research?
Related TECHi analyst notes appear when a reviewed report is connected to NVDA; consensus-provider data remains separately identified.
How to use this page
Use this to answer the core investor question for this tab.
Best for Focused evidence that complements the main quote dashboard.
Weak when Provider data is delayed, sparse, or not yet confirmed by filings.
Street view
Buy
Target $327.70 · +45.92%i
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