NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET · Technology · Forecast & analysis
Aurora Innovation (AUR) Stock Forecast & Analyst Ratings
Buy/hold/sell mix, conviction spread, and target-range context when analyst data is available.
Section freshness
Price Aug 25, 8:06 PM EDT · Statements Jun 29, 8:00 PM EDT
Forecast read
AUR has ratings coverage; price targets are still pending.
Use this dashboard to see whether analysts expect AUR to grow, stall, or drop while TECHi waits for a fresh target range.
Price target map
AUR currently has 16 analyst ratings tracked; a forecast target range is not yet available.
Forecast target playground
Set your own 12-month target for AUR and compare it against current analyst coverage. 16 analyst ratings are currently tracked.
Relative move:
For scenario planning only — published analyst targets are not yet available for AUR.
Data last updated: Aug 25, 2026, 8:06 PM EDT
Current price: Price pending · 16 ratings tracked
Consensus
Buy
16 analysts tracked
Rating score
3.75
Analyst consensus score on 1-5 scale
Dispersion
0.66
Moderate Consensus Divergence
Adjusted score
3.50
Consensus score pulled toward neutral when disagreement rises
Coverage note
A published price-target range and full recommendation breakdown are not yet available for this name. Ratings, dispersion, and scenario analysis remain below.
TECHi take
AUR consensus inputs are flowing, while target inputs are still pending.
TECHi Markets Desk · Aug 25, 2026, 8:06 PM EDT
TECHi is tracking 16 analyst ratings on Aurora Innovation, with consensus at Buy and a rating score of 3.75. Dispersion tells you whether that consensus is broad or clustered.
Twelve-month price targets are not yet published for Aurora Innovation. The rating mix and dispersion are the clearest current read on where the Street stands.
Use the sections below to compare the rating split, estimate revisions, and peer forecasts. When target data is available, the scenario view expands into explicit bull, base, and bear cases.
TECHi Signal model
Forecast math with source coverage and horizon history.
Evidence lab
Balanced watch
Dashboard score
49
/100
1 day to 10 years + strategic setup
Low confidence
18 of 76 fields are powering the model.
History progress
Past returns in Signal
Scored windows
Long-range history isn't deep enough to score these windows yet.
7 empty progress windows are hidden until enough closes exist.
A-Z factor map
Available scoring inputs
13/26 factors
13 unscored inputs are hidden until the quote stack has verified fields for them.
Balance sheet
Cash runway
Balance sheet · 55/100
Current 11.38x; cash/debt unavailable
Method
Checks liquidity, leverage, and balance-sheet room.
Data coverage
Zero-missing risk
Data coverage · 35/100
40 missing fields
Method
Shows how much the model is relying on available fields versus placeholders.
External view
Analyst conviction
External view · 69/100
Consensus 3.75; upside unavailable; disagreement unavailable
Method
Uses consensus, target spread, target disagreement, revisions, and latest EPS surprise.
Forecast
Upside scenarios
Forecast · 48/100
Future 54/100; analyst 69/100
Method
Combines TECHi future-value signal with outside target support.
Growth
Growth pulse
Growth · 54/100
Revenue +100%; EPS -27.3%
Method
Compares latest YoY sales and earnings momentum.
Year-over-year proof
Growth · 54/100
1M windows unavailable; 3M windows unavailable
Method
Looks for repeated conversion from past setups into later closes.
Quality
Free cash flow
Quality · 8/100
FCF margin -5120%; yield -2.2%
Method
Connects profit quality to cash generation and market value.
Quality trend
Quality · 22/100
Quality composite 22/100
Method
Combines margins, returns, growth, and cash conversion.
Sentiment
News tone
Sentiment · 25/100
3 headlines; unavailable
Method
Headline breadth and sentiment are capped so news does not overpower data.
Strategic
Leadership depth
Strategic · 50/100
0 named executives
Method
Adds C-suite coverage for execution visibility.
Social/developer
Strategic · 50/100
Social composite 50/100
Method
Uses verified public channels and developer gravity when available.
Technicals
Technical tape
Technicals · 50/100
20D unavailable; ATR unavailable; %B unavailable
Method
Blends returns, SMA/EMA crosses (unavailable), RSI, MACD, Stochastic, Bollinger Bands, ATR, volume, volatility, and drawdown.
Valuation
PE and PEG
Valuation · 10/100
Forward PE unavailable; PEG unavailable; EV/Sales 2295.61x
Method
Penalizes expensive multiples unless growth support is visible.
Composite formula
Composite = normalized weighted sum (14% quality trend, 12% technical tape, 12% momentum, 12% track record validation, 11% future value, 10% valuation, 10% analyst/revision, 7% risk brake, 6% news sentiment, 4% leadership, 2% social/developer traction), confidence-adjusted toward neutral by input coverage^0.7 x freshness factor x missing-critical-field penalty x analyst-disagreement penalty
Strategic inputs
0 roadmap items, 0 leadership roles, 0 social/developer channels, human-impact lens unavailable.
Factual coverage
47/100 from 40/80 sourced fields, 20% live source health, and 40 missing fields.
Accuracy trail
Accuracy tracking needs a longer scored history before this model reports a hit rate — coverage and confidence are shown without a prediction-accuracy claim.
Guardrail
Buy/Hold/Sell labels are research stances. Predictive accuracy is shown beside the model and should be read with filings, risk tolerance, and current market conditions.
Bull case
No price inputUnavailable
Momentum holds, quality signals stay firm, future-product execution improves, and valuation pressure does not widen.
Base case
No price inputUnavailable
Weighted factor model using price, fundamentals, analyst, sentiment, roadmap, leadership, social traction, and risk inputs.
Stress case
No price inputUnavailable
Volatility, missing-data, valuation, and balance-sheet brakes are applied to the setup.
Horizon model
Horizon matrix
Timeframe-specific weights: trading windows lean on tape; investor windows lean on quality, valuation, and revisions; strategic windows lean on future value.
Horizon signals appear after the quote stack supplies a usable live price.
Price-direction backtest
Daily scoring history
Tests whether the model's price-derived direction matched later closes — it does not yet validate the fundamental, analyst, or sentiment factors, which need persisted daily history. Longer and multi-year horizons score once enough closes have matured.
Daily scoring history appears once enough closes have accumulated.
10 horizon lanes are hidden until enough future closes mature.
11 validations appear once TECHi has tracked enough daily factor history for them.
Analyst consensus
What the street actually thinks right now.
AUR currently has 16 analyst entries with a live Wall Street consensus score of 3.75 (Buy).
Dispersion score: 0.66 · Moderate Consensus Divergence.
Adjusted score for spread: 3.50 · used to reduce false certainty when recommendations are split.
Consensus read: Tilted positive
Signal-vs-consensus divergence
AUR current TECHi Signal stance against analyst consensus.
Consensus: 3.75 (Buy) · Signal: 2.96 (Balanced watch) · gap -0.79 on the 1-5 scale
Dispersion reliability: usable. If consensus is split, a small gap is still meaningful, while a wide gap usually means framing differences.
TECHi Signal is more cautious than consensus.
TECHi Signal can diverge from consensus on 3M+ horizons because it blends financial data, governance signals, leadership quality, and quant scores (Altman Z, ROIC, Rule of 40, FCF yield) alongside standard analyst inputs.
- Consensus
- Buy
- Rating score
- 3.75
- 1 sell to 5 strong buy scale
- Adjusted score
- 3.50
- Disciplined by disagreement
- Buy weight
- 63%
- 10 buy / strong buy
- Hold + Sell pressure
- 38%
- 6 hold + sell
Current distribution of recommendations in TECHi’s analyst dataset.
Analyst strength
Buy and strong-buy split
Buy minus sell
Analyst indecision proxy
Frequently asked
Common questions.
Is AUR a buy?
Analysts currently rate Aurora Innovation (AUR) "Buy" across 16 tracked ratings (10 buy, 6 hold, and 0 sell). This is the reported Wall Street consensus, not personalized investment advice — review the full rating mix, dispersion, and bull/base/bear scenarios below before deciding.
How complete is the AUR forecast data?
Aurora Innovation (AUR) does not yet have enough fresh target data for a published range. Available ratings remain visible without an invented target.
What analysis is available for AUR?
The AUR Forecast and Analysis page combines the fresh rating mix, target range, scenarios, catalysts, and risk context currently available for Aurora Innovation.
Does TECHi publish its own AUR research?
Related TECHi analyst notes appear when a reviewed report is connected to AUR; consensus-provider data remains separately identified.