#Federal Reserve

NVDA at $201.68, up 8.1% YTD. Oil crash + 10-year at 4.26% set up 9-13% multiple expansion into May 20 earnings.

Brent crude crashed to $86.84 on April 17, 2026. The $76B wealth transfer is underway. 5 S&P 500 stocks with asymmetric upside: DAL, FDX, CCL, F, WMT.

Dow futures drop 517 points as Iran ceasefire collapses and Trump orders Hormuz blockade. Goldman Sachs earnings Monday. DJIA closed at 47,916 Friday.

QQQ gained 4.1% for its best week since November 2025. Iran ceasefire, March CPI at 3.3%, and 660B AI capex drove Nasdaq-100 to 611.

March 2026 CPI rose 0.9% on a 21.2% gasoline spike, but core came in at 0.2% and 2.6% annually. Why it gives the Fed cover and how markets absorbed the print.

Fed Chair Powell says he's watching private credit 'super carefully' and sees no need to hike rates despite $114 oil. Treasury yields drop 10bps.

March 2026 jobs report preview: consensus +57K nonfarm payrolls, Good Friday release, and what it means for stocks, the Fed, and your portfolio.

Moody's AI model at 49%. Goldman at 30%. Full recession probability breakdown, warning signs, portfolio strategies & key dates to watch.

S&P 500 shed 45 points to 7,064 on April 22 as Maersk raised Strait shipping concerns. Dow fell to 49,149. VIX at 19.03. Tesla Q1 results after the bell.

Jerome Powell warns on Big Tech's trillion-dollar valuations post-Fed rate cut. Will high valuations survive the end of cheap liquidity? A reality check for investors.

Bitcoin and Ethereum dip ahead of the Fed’s 2025 rate decision. Market eyes macro signals, Kraken’s OTC trends, and PayPal’s stablecoin expansion post-GENIUS Act.

Polymarket puts 96.3% odds on no Fed cut at the July 29–30 FOMC, despite Trump’s calls. Markets expect status quo until later 2025.

After a month of volatility and uncertainty in the US stock market, the dark clouds seem to shatter for Bitcoin as Trump announced a trade deal with the