NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE, INC. · Consumer Discretionary · TECHi Signal
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) Stock Rating & Risk Score
TECHi Signal compresses current quote, fundamental, technical, analyst, and strategic inputs into one explainable research stance for BABA.
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BABA: Balanced watch
Balanced watch. Valuation pressure (87/100) is the strongest signal; quality trend (41/100) is the main constraint. Model confidence is 6/100 — some inputs are unavailable, so treat this as a directional research screen rather than a forecast. It ranks #55/120 across the TECHi coverage universe and #6/11 in Consumer Discretionary. Use the top read for speed, then inspect the Formula lab when you need the full evidence trail.
Signal
51/100
Low confidence
Inputs
15/76
50/100 factual coverage
Universe
#55/120
55/100 peer percentile
Nearest
Hold
1 Day 0.0%
Balanced watch
Dashboard view for the current Signal score, confidence, input coverage, and active horizon. The full narrative read lives in Start Here; the evidence trail is consolidated below.
Technical tape
50/100
0/16 inputs
Forecast layer
79/100
1/5 inputs
Valuation
87/100
2/8 inputs
Risk brake
64/100
4/8 inputs
51
Signal score
Active horizon
1 day to 10 years + strategic setup
50/100 factual coverage, 18% live source health.
TECHi coverage universe
BABA against fresh TECHi coverage.
Peer ranks are recalculated from the latest live quotes, so the context moves when the underlying data moves.
Universe rank
#55/120
55/100 percentile among scored peers.
Sector rank
#6/11
Consumer Discretionary coverage cohort.
Fresh symbols
120
120 tickers scored in the trailing week.
Freshest pull
Aug 25, 2026
BABA model as of Aug 24, 2026.
Nearest Signal comps
Top sector signals
Horizon read
The stance changes by timeframe.
These are Formula stances by timeframe, not execution instructions. The full validation grid is below.
1 Day
9/100 conf
0.0%
Risk brake 64/100 / News sentiment 42/100
7 Days
9/100 conf
+0.2%
Analyst/revision signal 79/100 / Risk brake 64/100
15 Days
9/100 conf
+0.6%
Analyst/revision signal 79/100 / Valuation pressure 87/100
30 Days
11/100 conf
+1.6%
Analyst/revision signal 79/100 / Valuation pressure 87/100
3 Months
11/100 conf
+3.0%
Valuation pressure 87/100 / Analyst/revision signal 79/100
6 Months
11/100 conf
+4.3%
Valuation pressure 87/100 / Analyst/revision signal 79/100
1 Year
14/100 conf
+6.9%
Valuation pressure 87/100 / Analyst/revision signal 79/100
3 Years
18/100 conf
+10.4%
Valuation pressure 87/100 / Future value 66/100
5 Years
18/100 conf
+15.6%
Valuation pressure 87/100 / Future value 66/100
10 Years
18/100 conf
+17.6%
Valuation pressure 87/100 / Future value 66/100
What moves it
Strongest inputs
Valuation pressure
87/100
2/8 inputs · 10% dashboard weight
Analyst/revision signal
79/100
1/5 inputs · 10% dashboard weight
Future value
66/100
1/7 inputs · 11% dashboard weight
Pressure points
Quality trend
41/100
5/9 inputs · 14% dashboard weight
News sentiment
42/100
1/3 inputs · 6% dashboard weight
Momentum setup
48/100
1/10 inputs · 12% dashboard weight
Habit loop
Watch the next price trigger, not just the score.
BABA's nearest horizon is hold at 0.0%; use a dashboard price alert to catch the next break before the next Signal refresh.
Formula lab
Factor evidence, scenarios, horizons, and validation.
Evidence lab
Balanced watch
Dashboard score
51
/100
1 day to 10 years + strategic setup
Low confidence
15 of 76 fields are powering the model.
History progress
Past returns in Signal
Scored windows
Long-range history isn't deep enough to score these windows yet.
7 empty progress windows are hidden until enough closes exist.
A-Z factor map
Available scoring inputs
12/26 factors
14 unscored inputs are hidden until the quote stack has verified fields for them.
Balance sheet
Cash runway
Balance sheet · 80/100
Current 1.28x; cash/debt unavailable
Method
Checks liquidity, leverage, and balance-sheet room.
Data coverage
Zero-missing risk
Data coverage · 47/100
30 missing fields
Method
Shows how much the model is relying on available fields versus placeholders.
External view
Analyst conviction
External view · 79/100
Consensus 4.17; upside unavailable; disagreement unavailable
Method
Uses consensus, target spread, target disagreement, revisions, and latest EPS surprise.
Forecast
Upside scenarios
Forecast · 62/100
Future 66/100; analyst 79/100
Method
Combines TECHi future-value signal with outside target support.
Quality
Key margins
Quality · 43/100
Gross +39.8%; operating +5.8%
Method
Rewards margin breadth before assigning quality confidence.
Operating leverage
Quality · 35/100
Operating margin +5.8%
Method
Shows whether revenue is converting into operating profit.
Quality trend
Quality · 41/100
Quality composite 41/100
Method
Combines margins, returns, growth, and cash conversion.
Sentiment
News tone
Sentiment · 42/100
5 headlines; unavailable
Method
Headline breadth and sentiment are capped so news does not overpower data.
Strategic
Leadership depth
Strategic · 50/100
0 named executives
Method
Adds C-suite coverage for execution visibility.
Social/developer
Strategic · 50/100
Social composite 50/100
Method
Uses verified public channels and developer gravity when available.
Technicals
Technical tape
Technicals · 50/100
20D unavailable; ATR unavailable; %B unavailable
Method
Blends returns, SMA/EMA crosses (unavailable), RSI, MACD, Stochastic, Bollinger Bands, ATR, volume, volatility, and drawdown.
Valuation
PE and PEG
Valuation · 87/100
Forward PE unavailable; PEG unavailable; EV/Sales unavailable
Method
Penalizes expensive multiples unless growth support is visible.
Composite formula
Composite = normalized weighted sum (14% quality trend, 12% technical tape, 12% momentum, 12% track record validation, 11% future value, 10% valuation, 10% analyst/revision, 7% risk brake, 6% news sentiment, 4% leadership, 2% social/developer traction), confidence-adjusted toward neutral by input coverage^0.7 x freshness factor x missing-critical-field penalty x analyst-disagreement penalty
Strategic inputs
0 roadmap items, 0 leadership roles, 0 social/developer channels, human-impact lens unavailable.
Factual coverage
50/100 from 38/68 sourced fields, 18% live source health, and 30 missing fields.
Accuracy trail
Accuracy tracking needs a longer scored history before this model reports a hit rate — coverage and confidence are shown without a prediction-accuracy claim.
Guardrail
Buy/Hold/Sell labels are research stances. Predictive accuracy is shown beside the model and should be read with filings, risk tolerance, and current market conditions.
Bull case
+17.3%$138.93
Momentum holds, quality signals stay firm, future-product execution improves, and valuation pressure does not widen.
Base case
+6.3%$125.90
Weighted factor model using price, fundamentals, analyst, sentiment, roadmap, leadership, social traction, and risk inputs.
Stress case
-4.7%$112.87
Volatility, missing-data, valuation, and balance-sheet brakes are applied to the setup.
Horizon model
Horizon matrix
Timeframe-specific weights: trading windows lean on tape; investor windows lean on quality, valuation, and revisions; strategic windows lean on future value.
Trading windows
1-30 day tape, momentum, and event risk.
1 Day
50/100 signal · 9/100 conf · 50/100 facts
0.0%
$118.47
Drivers Risk brake 64/100 · News sentiment 42/100
7 Days
53/100 signal · 9/100 conf · 50/100 facts
+0.2%
$118.71
Drivers Analyst/revision signal 79/100 · Risk brake 64/100
15 Days
55/100 signal · 9/100 conf · 50/100 facts
+0.6%
$119.18
Drivers Analyst/revision signal 79/100 · Valuation pressure 87/100
30 Days
59/100 signal · 11/100 conf · 50/100 facts
+1.6%
$120.37
Drivers Analyst/revision signal 79/100 · Valuation pressure 87/100
Investor windows
Quarterly setup through one-year thesis checks.
3 Months
61/100 signal · 11/100 conf · 50/100 facts
+3.0%
$122.02
Drivers Valuation pressure 87/100 · Analyst/revision signal 79/100
6 Months
61/100 signal · 11/100 conf · 50/100 facts
+4.3%
$123.56
Drivers Valuation pressure 87/100 · Analyst/revision signal 79/100
1 Year
61/100 signal · 14/100 conf · 50/100 facts
+6.9%
$126.64
Drivers Valuation pressure 87/100 · Analyst/revision signal 79/100
Strategic windows
Multi-year durability, leadership, and future value.
3 Years
59/100 signal · 18/100 conf · 50/100 facts
+10.4%
$130.79
Drivers Valuation pressure 87/100 · Future value 66/100
5 Years
59/100 signal · 18/100 conf · 50/100 facts
+15.6%
$136.95
Drivers Valuation pressure 87/100 · Future value 66/100
10 Years
57/100 signal · 18/100 conf · 50/100 facts
+17.6%
$139.32
Drivers Valuation pressure 87/100 · Future value 66/100
Price-direction backtest
Daily scoring history
Tests whether the model's price-derived direction matched later closes — it does not yet validate the fundamental, analyst, or sentiment factors, which need persisted daily history. Longer and multi-year horizons score once enough closes have matured.
Daily scoring history appears once enough closes have accumulated.
10 horizon lanes are hidden until enough future closes mature.
11 validations appear once TECHi has tracked enough daily factor history for them.
Frequently asked
Common questions.
What is TECHi Signal for BABA?
TECHi Signal combines available technical, valuation, fundamental, analyst, sentiment, catalyst, and risk inputs for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) into an explainable research stance.
Is TECHi Signal investment advice?
No. Signal labels are research context, not personalized investment advice or an order recommendation.
How is Signal different from Forecast for BABA?
Forecast focuses on analyst targets and scenarios. Signal combines that evidence with technical, fundamental, sentiment, catalyst, and risk inputs.