NasdaqGS · Technology · TECHi Signal
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) Stock Rating & Risk Score
TECHi Signal compresses current quote, fundamental, technical, analyst, and strategic inputs into one explainable research stance for SPCX.
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SPCX: Balanced watch
Balanced watch. Future value (72/100) is the strongest signal; quality trend (11/100) is the main constraint. Model confidence is 14/100 — some inputs are unavailable, so treat this as a directional research screen rather than a forecast. Long-term secular context is tracked separately: Last week +6.4% total; yesterday -3.9%. Comparable past signals have verified against subsequent prices 0% of the time. It ranks #86/120 across the TECHi coverage universe and #55/75 in Technology. Use the top read for speed, then inspect the Formula lab when you need the full evidence trail.
Signal
50/100
Low confidence
Inputs
42/76
60/100 factual coverage
Universe
#86/120
29/100 peer percentile
Nearest
Hold
1 Day +0.1%
Balanced watch
Dashboard view for the current Signal score, confidence, input coverage, and active horizon. The full narrative read lives in Start Here; the evidence trail is consolidated below.
Technical tape
52/100
12/16 inputs
Forecast layer
59/100
3/5 inputs
Valuation
53/100
2/8 inputs
Risk brake
50/100
7/8 inputs
50
Signal score
Active horizon
1 day to 10 years + strategic setup
60/100 factual coverage, 35% live source health.
TECHi coverage universe
SPCX against fresh TECHi coverage.
Peer ranks are recalculated from the latest live quotes, so the context moves when the underlying data moves.
Universe rank
#86/120
29/100 percentile among scored peers.
Sector rank
#55/75
Technology coverage cohort.
Fresh symbols
120
120 tickers scored in the trailing week.
Freshest pull
Aug 12, 2026
SPCX model as of Aug 11, 2026.
Nearest Signal comps
Horizon read
The stance changes by timeframe.
These are Formula stances by timeframe, not execution instructions. The full validation grid is below.
1 Day
9/100 conf
+0.1%
News sentiment 67/100 / Technical tape 52/100
7 Days
9/100 conf
+0.3%
News sentiment 67/100 / Analyst/revision signal 59/100
15 Days
9/100 conf
-0.2%
Quality trend 11/100 / News sentiment 67/100
30 Days
11/100 conf
-0.2%
Quality trend 11/100 / Analyst/revision signal 59/100
3 Months
11/100 conf
0.0%
Quality trend 11/100 / Future value 72/100
6 Months
11/100 conf
-0.8%
Quality trend 11/100 / Future value 72/100
1 Year
13/100 conf
-2.0%
Quality trend 11/100 / Future value 72/100
3 Years
16/100 conf
-6.1%
Quality trend 11/100 / Future value 72/100
5 Years
16/100 conf
-10.9%
Quality trend 11/100 / Future value 72/100
10 Years
16/100 conf
-18.4%
Quality trend 11/100 / Future value 72/100
What moves it
Strongest inputs
Future value
72/100
3/7 inputs · 11% dashboard weight
News sentiment
67/100
1/3 inputs · 6% dashboard weight
Analyst/revision signal
59/100
3/5 inputs · 10% dashboard weight
Pressure points
Quality trend
11/100
2/9 inputs · 14% dashboard weight
Track record validation
31/100
4/8 inputs · 12% dashboard weight
Momentum setup
50/100
8/10 inputs · 12% dashboard weight
Habit loop
Watch the next price trigger, not just the score.
SPCX's nearest horizon is hold at +0.1%; use a dashboard price alert to catch the next break before the next Signal refresh.
Formula lab
Factor evidence, scenarios, horizons, and validation.
Evidence lab
Balanced watch
Dashboard score
50
/100
1 day to 10 years + strategic setup
Low confidence
42 of 76 fields are powering the model.
History progress
Past returns in Signal
Scored windows
Last month
40/100-4.2%
CAGR unavailable
$139.14 to $133.29
2026-07-13 to 2026-08-11
1-month progress reflects recent tape with less sensitivity than daily windows.
Last week
73/100+6.4%
CAGR unavailable
$125.33 to $133.29
2026-08-04 to 2026-08-11
1-week progress tracks short-cycle tape and can rotate meaningfully with each close cluster.
Yesterday
26/100-3.9%
CAGR unavailable
$138.74 to $133.29
2026-08-10 to 2026-08-11
1-day progress tracks latest close-to-close momentum from tape.
4 empty progress windows are hidden until enough closes exist.
A-Z factor map
Available scoring inputs
21/26 factors
5 unscored inputs are hidden until the quote stack has verified fields for them.
Balance sheet
Cash runway
Balance sheet · 69/100
Current 5.12x; cash/debt 1.08x
Method
Checks liquidity, leverage, and balance-sheet room.
Data coverage
Zero-missing risk
Data coverage · 40/100
26 missing fields
Method
Shows how much the model is relying on available fields versus placeholders.
External view
Analyst conviction
External view · 59/100
Consensus 4.08; upside +76.8%; disagreement +553.7%
Method
Uses consensus, target spread, target disagreement, revisions, and latest EPS surprise.
Implied upside
External view · 100/100
Target move +76.8%; disagreement +553.7%
Method
Measures analyst target room versus the latest quote and flags wide high-low target dispersion.
Forecast
Upside scenarios
Forecast · 47/100
Future 72/100; analyst 59/100
Method
Combines TECHi future-value signal with outside target support.
Growth
Year-over-year proof
Growth · 0/100
1M windows 0/100; 3M windows unavailable
Method
Looks for repeated conversion from past setups into later closes.
Momentum
Jump signal
Momentum · 67/100
5D return +6.4%
Method
Captures the newest short-term price impulse.
52-week position
Momentum · 56/100
Range position +23.6%
Method
Scores trend strength while trimming crowded highs.
Quality
Key margins
Quality · 11/100
Gross unavailable; operating -1.8%
Method
Rewards margin breadth before assigning quality confidence.
Operating leverage
Quality · 15/100
Operating margin -1.8%
Method
Shows whether revenue is converting into operating profit.
Quality trend
Quality · 11/100
Quality composite 11/100
Method
Combines margins, returns, growth, and cash conversion.
Sentiment
News tone
Sentiment · 67/100
8 headlines; unavailable
Method
Headline breadth and sentiment are capped so news does not overpower data.
Strategic
Leadership depth
Strategic · 50/100
0 named executives
Method
Adds C-suite coverage for execution visibility.
Social/developer
Strategic · 50/100
Social composite 50/100
Method
Uses verified public channels and developer gravity when available.
Technical risk
Drawdown control
Technical risk · 12/100
90D max drawdown -48.8%
Method
Scores whether recent losses stayed controlled versus the latest peak.
Technicals
MACD pressure
Technicals · 82/100
MACD hist 5.02; slope 0.22
Method
Reads MACD line pressure against its signal line plus histogram direction.
RSI balance
Technicals · 75/100
RSI 14 52.3; Stoch %K 81
Method
Rewards constructive oscillator momentum without extreme overbought stretch.
Technical tape
Technicals · 52/100
20D -2.1%; ATR 8.5%; %B 0.85
Method
Blends returns, SMA/EMA crosses (unavailable), RSI, MACD, Stochastic, Bollinger Bands, ATR, volume, volatility, and drawdown.
Volume confirmation
Technicals · 56/100
Volume 108.3M vs avg 95.8M
Method
Checks whether price movement is confirmed by trading activity.
Validation
History depth
Validation · 44/100
41 closes analyzed
Method
More closes improve backtest coverage and reduce thin-history risk.
Valuation
PE and PEG
Valuation · 53/100
Forward PE unavailable; PEG unavailable; EV/Sales unavailable
Method
Penalizes expensive multiples unless growth support is visible.
Composite formula
Composite = normalized weighted sum (14% quality trend, 12% technical tape, 12% momentum, 12% track record validation, 11% future value, 10% valuation, 10% analyst/revision, 7% risk brake, 6% news sentiment, 4% leadership, 2% social/developer traction), confidence-adjusted toward neutral by input coverage^0.7 x freshness factor x missing-critical-field penalty x analyst-disagreement penalty
Strategic inputs
0 roadmap items, 0 leadership roles, 0 social/developer channels, human-impact lens unavailable.
Factual coverage
60/100 from 61/87 sourced fields, 35% live source health, and 26 missing fields.
Accuracy trail
0% rolling hit rate across 5 scored signals. Hit rate is measured against subsequent price history for each horizon. Treat it as a proxy, not audited performance.
Guardrail
Buy/Hold/Sell labels are research stances. Predictive accuracy is shown beside the model and should be read with filings, risk tolerance, and current market conditions.
Bull case
+16.3%$154.99
Momentum holds, quality signals stay firm, future-product execution improves, and valuation pressure does not widen.
Base case
+0.3%$133.67
Weighted factor model using price, fundamentals, analyst, sentiment, roadmap, leadership, social traction, and risk inputs.
Stress case
-16.3%$111.54
Volatility, missing-data, valuation, and balance-sheet brakes are applied to the setup.
Horizon model
Horizon matrix
Timeframe-specific weights: trading windows lean on tape; investor windows lean on quality, valuation, and revisions; strategic windows lean on future value.
Trading windows
1-30 day tape, momentum, and event risk.
1 Day
53/100 signal · 9/100 conf · 60/100 facts
+0.1%
$133.42
Drivers News sentiment 67/100 · Technical tape 52/100
7 Days
54/100 signal · 9/100 conf · 60/100 facts
+0.3%
$133.69
Drivers News sentiment 67/100 · Analyst/revision signal 59/100
15 Days
48/100 signal · 9/100 conf · 60/100 facts
-0.2%
$133.02
Drivers Quality trend 11/100 · News sentiment 67/100
30 Days
49/100 signal · 11/100 conf · 60/100 facts
-0.2%
$133.02
Drivers Quality trend 11/100 · Analyst/revision signal 59/100
Investor windows
Quarterly setup through one-year thesis checks.
3 Months
50/100 signal · 11/100 conf · 60/100 facts
0.0%
$133.29
Drivers Quality trend 11/100 · Future value 72/100
6 Months
48/100 signal · 11/100 conf · 60/100 facts
-0.8%
$132.22
Drivers Quality trend 11/100 · Future value 72/100
1 Year
47/100 signal · 13/100 conf · 60/100 facts
-2.0%
$130.62
Drivers Quality trend 11/100 · Future value 72/100
Strategic windows
Multi-year durability, leadership, and future value.
3 Years
45/100 signal · 16/100 conf · 60/100 facts
-6.1%
$125.16
Drivers Quality trend 11/100 · Future value 72/100
5 Years
44/100 signal · 16/100 conf · 60/100 facts
-10.9%
$118.76
Drivers Quality trend 11/100 · Future value 72/100
10 Years
43/100 signal · 16/100 conf · 60/100 facts
-18.4%
$108.76
Drivers Quality trend 11/100 · Future value 72/100
Price-direction backtest
Daily scoring history
Tests whether the model's price-derived direction matched later closes — it does not yet validate the fundamental, analyst, or sentiment factors, which need persisted daily history. Longer and multi-year horizons score once enough closes have matured.
1 Day
0.0%
5 daily scores · 9.0% avg error
Latest: Hold +0.3% vs -3.9% actual
9 horizon lanes are hidden until enough future closes mature.
10 validations appear once TECHi has tracked enough daily factor history for them.
Technical tape
Limited0.0%
5 samples · latest 2026-08-10
Validated daily from historical price tape: SMA, RSI, MACD, volatility, drawdown, and short returns.
Frequently asked
Common questions.
What is TECHi Signal for SPCX?
TECHi Signal combines available technical, valuation, fundamental, analyst, sentiment, catalyst, and risk inputs for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) into an explainable research stance.
Is TECHi Signal investment advice?
No. Signal labels are research context, not personalized investment advice or an order recommendation.
How is Signal different from Forecast for SPCX?
Forecast focuses on analyst targets and scenarios. Signal combines that evidence with technical, fundamental, sentiment, catalyst, and risk inputs.